Rohde argues that historically pandemics last somewhere between 1.5-3.5 years. Hopefully, as we enter late spring and summer of 2023, we may see things get closer to normal." Rohde believes that we could get closer to 'the new normal' by 2023: "I believe things will continue as they are happening now throughout 2022 with ups and downs. However, even in this optimistic timeframe, COVID-19 would still exist as a threat in countries with poor testing, vaccination, and antivirals coverage. The 'new normal' would also mean no restrictions and a steady economic recovery. This is not to say that COVID-19 will have been eradicated, but rather the UK is able to settle in to 'the new normal' where the disease becomes endemic - treated as a routine infectious disease.įor COVID-19 not to be a major threat any longer, the virus would need not to cause surges in deaths or hospital admissions, or be placing the NHS under pressure. The most optimistic scenario offered by the UK government sets out that the COVID-19 pandemic will end sometime between now and 2023. A wider pool of data is needed before we know if or how Omicron fits into the picture when asking "When will COVID end?" It is simply too early for experts to understand the symptoms of this new variant and how current measures will hold up against it. It is predicted that Omicron will become the dominant variant in the UK before Christmas 2021, and as such scientists are predominantly concerned with the rate of transmission, to what extent current vaccines and boosters will protect against it, and whether it will evade detection through certain COVID-19 tests. However, a recent report by UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) predicts that over one million people in the UK will be infected with Omicron by the end of December, if it continues to spread at the present rate. Testing date is the date the test was administered.It has been only a couple of weeks since Omicron infection was detected in the UK (on 27th November) and official rates state that it is not yet at the level of the current dominant Delta variant.
Total tests and positivity rate source data. Vaccines will help put an end to the pandemic.įrom decrease from 7-days prior As more people are vaccinated, the virus is less likely to spread, mutate, and potentially become even more dangerous. Vaccines prevent serious illness, save lives, and reduce further spread of COVID-19. Data is provided by the California Department of Public Health. This percentage may differ from data reported by local health jurisdictions and federal entities.All daily averages are 7-day averages.Vaccines administered have a 7-day lag.Cases have an 8-day lag.Deaths have a 22-day lag due to delays in reporting.Tests have a 1-day lag.Case and death data from Los Angeles and San Diego counties have an additional 1-day lag.Testing data from Los Angeles county have a 1-day lag.The population denominators used for the per 100K rates come from the California Department of Finance’s population projections for 2020.Test positivity is based on a 7-day average with no lag. The percentage of population vaccinated will be consistently updated due to ongoing statewide vaccine record reconciliation efforts. The percentage of population vaccinated includes people with one or two vaccine doses and people who are vaccinated and boosted divided by the population eligible for vaccination. Vaccines administered source data and cases, deaths, and tests source data Updated Jat 9:36 AM, with data from June 30, 2022. To date, California has confirmed a total of 9,431,299 COVID-19 cases Latest updateUnvaccinated and vaccinated dataCounty and statewide dataCases and deaths by ethnicity, gender, and ageExplore more data California is tracking data to understand the spread of COVID-19.
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